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US residents hold 8% of Russian sovereign debt
Geography of holders of Russian sovereign debt
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
17 Aug 2018
Financial stability in Kazakhstan has reached its pre-crisis level
Structural Financial Stress Index for Kazakhstan
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
21 Aug 2018
Stressful scenarios are becoming more likely for the Russian economy
Russia 2022 Economic Outlook Update
Sovereigns
Forecast
25 Oct 2018
Strong fiscal rules in the EU do not guarantee good fiscal health
General government budget balance and stability in the EU
Sovereigns
Research
21 Jan 2019
Tenge volatility adds to instability in Kazakhstan’s financial system
Structural Financial Stress Index for Kazakhstan
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
6 Feb 2019
A Brief introduction to the Russian bond market
Structure, history, and possible ways of evolution
Sovereigns
Joint research
28 Feb 2019
A brief introduction to China’s bond market
Structure, regulation, and opening-up
Sovereigns
Joint research
28 Feb 2019
What do the Chinese and Russian bond markets have in common? And how do they differ?
An attempt at a meaningful comparison
Sovereigns
Joint research
28 Feb 2019
A dead-end war: Why China and the US have resumed trade talks
A mutual increase in import tariffs is costly for both sides
Sovereigns
Research
17 Apr 2019
World trade tensions may escalate to economic downturn by late 2019
Russia 2023 Economic Outlook Update and Alternative Scenarios
Sovereigns
Forecast
23 Jul 2019
Panda-bond market is becoming more attractive to foreign issuers
Higher offering volumes indicate that the debt instrument is gaining popularity
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
15 Aug 2019
Coronavirus poses a problem for the Chinese economy
China's GDP growth will be lower than predicted due to the spread of the disease
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
29 Jan 2020
Global risks in the financial system have increased, but it is still too early to talk about a crisis
An analysis of how the coronavirus and the collapse of OPEC+ talks are affecting financial stress indices for Russia and other countries
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
13 Mar 2020
The spread of COVID-19 and the fall in oil prices are worsening the economic situation and the creditworthiness of Russian issuers
An overview of the situation in various segments of the economy
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
17 Mar 2020
Russia’s Ministry of Finance returns to the bond market with a slight increase in yields
The potential increase in borrowing may lead to an increase in cost, but the federal budget’s expenditures on debt service will remain acceptable
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
9 Apr 2020
Questions and lessons from the 2020 economic crisis
Russian economy: updating the forecast through 2024
Sovereigns
Forecast
21 Apr 2020
Major economies’ unprecedented fiscal packages aimed at supporting businesses and the general public
Russia’s anti-crisis fiscal package is relatively small
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
30 Apr 2020
National Bank of Kazakhstan – a balanced response to economic shocks
The regulator has kept the base rate unchanged given inflation risks and the need to support the economy
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
30 Apr 2020
ACRA Financial Stress Index: similarities and differences between the current situation and the crises of 2008–2009 and 2014–2015
An article by ACRA analysts Vasilisa Baranova and Dmitry Kulikov for Cbonds
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
25 May 2020
How soft will the Bank of Russia’s monetary policy be in 2020?
Russian economy: stimulus measures
Sovereigns
Research
5 Jun 2020
The Russian economy has proved to be more resistant to quarantine measures than the Spanish economy
How quarantine measures have impacted industries in the Russian, Spanish, and Swedish economies
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
13 Jul 2020
Risks of recession in the Kazakh economy in 2020 and the prospects of exiting it
Kazakh economy: a forecast until 2024
Sovereigns
Forecast
12 Aug 2020
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
15 Sep 2020
Domestic market capacity may not be sufficient to meet the government’s ambitious borrowing program
Quasi-market instruments or accumulated federal budget funds can be used to finance federal budget expenses
Sovereigns, Regions & Municipalities
Research
5 Oct 2020
A significant positive revision of industry data is the norm for Russia and many other countries
An interpretation of operational economic statistics
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
20 Oct 2020
Everything on sovereign risk in six questions
Why countries with low debt do not always have the highest ratings
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
29 Oct 2020
Structural and temporary factors of economic growth in Russia
Russian Economy: Outlook Update to 2024
Sovereigns
Forecast
19 Nov 2020
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
25 Dec 2020
Russia and Kazakhstan are emerging from the crisis with greater debt sustainability than Belarus
Contingent liability risks have been deferred
Sovereigns
Forecast
22 Jan 2021
The demographic consequences of the pandemic in Russia have a macroeconomic impact
An interpretation of operational economic statistics
Sovereigns
Analytical commentary
12 Feb 2021
Svetlana Panicheva
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